Isingeniso: Uma kucatshangelwa izici eziningi zasekhaya nezamazwe ngamazwe, izibikezelo zokuqala zisikisela ukuthi imakethe ye-acrylonitrile yaseShayina engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka inamathuba amaningi okubhekana nokwehla okulandelwa ukubuya. Kodwa-ke, inzuzo ephansi embonini ingase inciphise kakhulu ububanzi bokushintshashintsha kwamanani.
Ama-Raw material:
I-Propylene: Ibhalansi yokuhlinzekwa kwezidingo kulindeleke ukuthi ihlale ikhululekile. Njengoba ukuhlinzekwa ngokweqile kuqala ukuvela, i-propylene kancane kancane ikhombisa ukusebenza okubuthakathaka kunalokho obekulindelwe ngesikhathi sesizini esiphezulu, kanti izitayela zamanani zithonywa kakhulu yizinguquko ohlangothini lokuhlinzekwa kwezidingo.
Okwenziwayo: I-Amoniya: Izilinganiso zokuqala zibonisa ukuthi imakethe ye-ammonia yokwenziwa yaseShayina ingase ibone ukubuya okuncane ngemva kwesikhathi sokuhlanganiswa okuphansi engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka. Kodwa-ke, ukutholakala kwemakethe okwanele kanye nokuthunyelwa okulinganiselwe komanyolo ongaphansi komhlaba kuzogcina ingcindezi yokufunwa kokunikezwa kwasekhaya. Amanani ezifundeni ezinkulu zokukhiqiza cishe ngeke akhuphuke njengoba enza eminyakeni edlule, njengoba ukulungiswa okuphezulu kuba ngcono kakhulu.
Uhlangothi Lokunikezela:
Engxenyeni yesibili ka-2025, kulindeleke ukuthi ukuphakelwa kwe-acrylonitrile yaseShayina kukhule kancane kancane, yize ukwanda kwenani lokuhweba kungase kuhlale kulinganiselwe. Amanye amaphrojekthi angase abhekane nokubambezeleka, okuphoqa izinkampani eziqalayo zokukhiqiza ukuthi ziqale ngonyaka ozayo. Ngokusekelwe ekulandeleni kwamanje kwamaphrojekthi:
● Iphrojekthi ye-acrylonitrile kaJilin ** engamathani angu-260,000 ngonyaka ihlelelwe ukukhiqizwa ku-Q3.
● Isakhiwo se-acrylonitrile sikaTianjin ** esingamathani angu-130,000 ngonyaka sesiqediwe futhi kulindeleke ukuthi siqale ukukhiqizwa cishe ngekota yesi-4 (kuya ngokuqinisekiswa).
Uma isisebenza, umthamo wokukhiqiza we-acrylonitrile waseShayina uzofinyelela kumathani ayizigidi ezingu-5.709 ngonyaka, okuwukwenyuka okungu-30% unyaka nonyaka.
Uhlangothi Lwesidingo:
Engxenyeni yesibili ka-2025, kuhlelwe ukuthi amayunithi amasha e-ABS aqaliswe ukusebenza eShayina:
● **Umugqa wokukhiqiza osele wamathani angu-300,000 ngonyaka we-Petrochemical kulindeleke ukuthi ufike ku-inthanethi.
● Iyunithi entsha yeJilin Petrochemical engamathani angu-600,000 ngonyaka ihlelelwe ukukhiqizwa ku-Q4.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, isikhungo sikaDaqing **, esisebenza kusukela maphakathi noJuni, sizokwandisa kancane kancane umkhiqizo engxenyeni yesibili, kuyilapho iyunithi yesigaba sesi-2 sePetrochemical kulindeleke ukuthi ikhule ibe namandla aphelele. Sekukonke, ukuphakelwa kwe-ABS yasekhaya kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule kakhulu engxenyeni yokugcina yonyaka.
Imboni ye-acrylamide nayo inezindawo eziningi ezintsha ezihlelelwe ukusebenza ngo-2025. Umthamo wokukhiqiza uzokhula kakhulu ngo-2025-2026, yize amazinga okusetshenziswa ngemva kokuqedwa kokusetshenziswa ehlala eyisici esibalulekile.
Umbono Ophelele:
Imakethe ye-acrylonitrile engxenyeni yesibili ka-2025 ingase yehle ekuqaleni ngaphambi kokubuyela emuva. Amanani ngoJulayi nango-Agasti angafinyelela emazingeni aphansi ngonyaka, kanye nokubuyela emuva okungenzeka uma izindleko ze-propylene zinikeza ukwesekwa ngo-Agasti-Septhemba—yize inzuzo ingase ilinganiselwe. Lokhu kungenxa kakhulu yenzuzo ebuthakathaka emikhakheni ye-acrylonitrile engezansi, okunciphisa umdlandla wokukhiqiza kanye nokunciphisa ukukhula kwesidingo.
Nakuba isidingo sesikhathi sendabuko esithi “Golden September, Silver October” singase sinikeze ukukhushulwa kwemakethe, ukukhushulwa okuphelele kulindeleke ukuthi kube kuncane. Imikhawulo ebalulekile ifaka phakathi amandla amasha okukhiqiza atholakala ku-inthanethi ku-Q3, ukusekela ukukhula kokunikezwa kanye nokulinganisa ukuzethemba kwemakethe. Ukuqapha eduze inqubekela phambili yephrojekthi ye-ABS engezansi kusabalulekile.
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Julayi-21-2025