Ukungena ku-2023, imakethe yasekhaya ye-butadiene iphakeme kakhulu, intengo yemakethe inyuke ngo-22.71%, ukukhula konyaka nonyaka ngama-44.76%, kufinyelele isiqalo esihle.Abahlanganyeli beMakethe bakholelwa ukuthi iphethini ye-2023 butadiene eqinile yemakethe izoqhubeka, imakethe kufanelekile ukubheka phambili, ngesikhathi esifanayo imakethe yasekhaya ye-butadiene isikhawu sokusebenza noma izoba phezulu kancane kuno-2022, ukusebenza okuphezulu okuphelele.
Ukuntengantenga kwezimakethe eziphezulu
Umhlaziyi kaJin Lianchuang uZhang Xiuping uthe imboni ibingenathemba ngemakethe ye-butadiene ngoJanuwari ngenxa yomthelela wokukhiqizwa kweShenghong Refining kanye nesitshalo samakhemikhali.Kodwa-ke, ukugcinwa okulindelekile kwezitshalo ze-butadiene e-Zhejiang Petrochemical and Zhenhai Refining kanye nesitshalo samakhemikhali ngoFebhuwari nangoMashi kuye kwaphakamisa kancane kancane isimo sokusebenza emakethe.Ngaphezu kwalokho, i-Tianchen Qixiang ne-Zhejiang Petrochemical Co., LTD.Isidingo sesitshalo se-acrylonitrile — butadiene — styrene copolymer (ABS) sikhula kancane kancane.Imakethe ihlola kabanzi.
Nakuba uphiko lwe-butadiene oluseSigabeni II se-Zhejiang Petrochemical luhlelelwe ukuvalwa ukuze lulungiswe maphakathi no-February, kanti imboni ye-Zhenhai Refining and Chemical nayo ihlelelwe ukuthi ilungiswe kabusha ekupheleni kuka-February, kokubili i-Hainan Refining and Chemical Plant kanye ne-petrochina. Imboni ye-Guangdong Petrochemical ihlelelwe ukuthi iqale ukusebenza ngoFebhuwari.Ngaphansi kwethonya elibanzi, ukukhiqizwa kwe-butadiene kulindeleke ukuthi kuzinze kodwa kungabi namandla, futhi intengo yemakethe kulindeleke ukuthi ihlale iphezulu.
Ngokombono wokukhishwa komthamo we-bifienne ngo-2023, kungase kube namathani ayizigidi ezingu-1.04 wamandla amasha akhishwe unyaka wonke, kodwa ukubambezeleka kokunye ukufakwa ngeke kukhishwe.Ngesikhathi esifanayo, iningi lezitshalo ezintsha obekufanele ziqale ukusebenza ekupheleni konyaka odlule zibambezeleke engxenyeni yokuqala yalo nyaka.Ngaphezu kwe-Shenghong Refining and Chemical, ezinye izitshalo ze-butadiene ezifana ne-Dongming Petrochemical nazo kulindeleke ukuthi ziqale ukusebenza.Engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka, okuthintwe ukukhululwa okugxilile kwamandla amasha okukhiqiza, ukunikezwa kwe-butadiene kuzoshabalala kancane kancane, imakethe noma kubonise ukuthambekela okuphezulu kokuvula.
Kulindeleke ukuthi inombolo elinganiselwe yemishini emisha ye-butadiene izofakwa ekukhiqizeni engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi amadivaysi amasha angaphansi komfula azofakwa ekukhiqizeni.Ukunyuka kwesidingo kuzoba kukhulu kunokwenyuka kokuhlinzeka, futhi isimo esiqinile sokuhlinzekwa kwemakethe sizoqhubeka.
Ukwengeza, ngokulungiswa nokulungiswa kwenqubomgomo yobhubhane kanye nokukhuphuka kokulindela kokusimama komnotho, isidingo sisonke sendawo yasekhaya engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka singathuthukiswa uma siqhathaniswa nengxenye yokuqala yonyaka, kanye nokwesekwa kwamanani i-demand side nayo iyathuthukiswa uma iqhathaniswa nengxenye yokuqala yonyaka.Ukugxila kwentengo kukonke kwe-butadiene njengempahla eluhlaza kuphezulu kunengxenye yokuqala yonyaka.
Izindleko zezinto zokusetshenziswa kunzima ukuwa
Njengempahla ye-pumpstone, njenge-butadiene eluhlaza, yasekelwa ukukhula kwesidingo ngo-2022, futhi ukukhiqizwa kwamafutha obuchopho bamatshe kwaqhubeka nokukhula unyaka wonke.Ngokusho kwedatha evela ku-National Bureau of Statistics, ukukhiqizwa kwamafutha obuchopho betshe ezweni lami ngo-2022 kwakungamathani ayizigidi ezingu-54.78, ukwanda ngo-10.51% ngaphezu konyaka odlule;umthamo wokungenisa wamafutha obuchopho betshe wawungamathani ayizigidi ezingu-9.26, futhi ukusetshenziswa kwewashi likawoyela wobuchopho betshe kwakungamathani ayizigidi ezingu-63.99 okusetshenziswa amathani ayizigidi ezingu-63.99., Inyuke ngo-13.21% uma kuqhathaniswa nonyaka odlule.
Ngo-2023, ngokushabalala kancane kancane kwalolu bhubhane, inqubomgomo yinhle, umnotho ululama kancane kancane, izinga lokusebenza lemboni ye-petrochemical lizokhuphuka, futhi isidingo sikawoyela we-petroleum okhuphuka nomfula uzokhula.Kulindeleke ukuthi lesi simo siqhubeke kuze kube yikota yesithathu.Ngekota yesine, itheminali ye-petrochemical yaqala ukusetshenziswa ngaphandle kwesizini, futhi ukwakhiwa komfula kwehla.Isidingo sika-petroleum namafutha sibe nengozi yokwehla.
Sekukonke, lapho indawo yokucwenga ingena esikhathini sokulungisa esimaphakathi engxenyeni yesibili, ukunikezwa kukawoyela we-petroleum kwehla futhi kwasekela ukubuya kwemakethe.Kodwa-ke, ngenxa yokwehla kokukhula komnotho womhlaba kanye nesidingo esinganele, ukuphinda kuphindwe kukhawulelwe, futhi intengo ingase iqhubeke nokulungiswa ngemva kokuba intengo iphezulu.Ikota yesithathu kwaba isiqongo sokuhamba ngokwesiko.Kulesi sigaba, amanani kawoyela ongahluziwe kancane kancane abuyela ebangeni elifanele.Inzuzo yedivayisi yokuqhekeka yaba ngcono, umsebenzi wemakethe wanda, futhi izindleko zezinto zokusetshenziswa zazishelela phansi.Ngekota yesine, imakethe ye-petrochemical izongena ekusetshenzisweni kwendabuko ngaphandle kwesizini, isidingo sehlile, futhi intengo kawoyela wobuchopho betshe izokwehla futhi.
Ngokombono wemboni yokucwenga, ukwakhiwa okusheshisiwe kwe-Yulong Island Refining Project kuhlelwe ukuthi kukhiqizwe ekupheleni kuka-2023. Isigaba sesibili se-Hainan Petrochemical Hainan Refining and Chemical, i-Zhenhai Refinery Phase I kanye ne-CNOOC Petrochemical Plan kwaba. kugxilwe ku-2023 kuya ku-2024. Ukukhula kwezinsiza zikawoyela okhanyayo amakhemikhali ngokungangabazeki kunenzuzo emakethe kawoyela, ngakho-ke isekela umfula ongezansi ohlanganisa i-butadiene ngokwezindleko.
Ukwenyuka kwesidingo somfula
Ukungena ku-2023, umthelela wezinqubomgomo ezivumayo njengentela yokuthenga yamatheminali e-butadiene athuthukiswa kancane, futhi imboni yenjoloba ekhuphuka nomfula yalungiswa ngenkuthalo.Ngaso leso sikhathi, ukwenziwa ngcono okuqhubekayo kwezinyathelo zokuvimbela ubhubhane lukazwelonke nakho kwaletha izinzuzo ezithile emakethe yenjoloba.Ukwenyuka kwesidingo esikhulayo somfula ngesikhathi seholide Lomkhosi Wasentwasahlobo, kanye nomfula osafufusa ovela ezansi nomfula we-butadiene, kulindeleke ukuthi kugeleze kungene emakethe ekuqaleni kuka-2023, futhi isidingo sendawo ye-butadiene sizokhuphuka kakhulu.
Ngokombono wokukhishwa kwamandla ngo-2023, amandla enjoloba ye-butadiebenbenbenbenbenbenbal anomthamo ophansi, okungamathani angu-40,000 kuphela ngonyaka;i-capsule entsha ye-capsule inamathani angu-273,000;i-polypropylene kanye ne-chunyrene -butadiene -lyzyrene convergence market Umthamo wokukhiqiza ungamathani ayi-150,000/ngonyaka;I-ABS yengeze amathani angu-444,900 ngonyaka, futhi amandla okukhiqiza amasha e-Tinto glue angamathani angu-50,000 ngonyaka;Akunzima ukubona ukuthi idivayisi entsha ihlale ifakwa ekukhiqizeni, futhi isidingo esingaphansi komfula kulindeleke ukuthi sikhuphuke kakhulu.Uma umthamo wokukhiqiza ongenhla ukhishwa ngesikhathi, ngokungangabazeki kuyinzuzo enkulu emakethe ye-butadiene.
Ukwengeza, njengoba izinqubomgomo zamanje zokuvimbela ubhubhane ziqhubeka nokuthuthukiswa, umthelela wezinto eziwumqedazwe ekuthengisweni kwamanye amazwe kanye nokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe uzoba buthaka kancane kancane esikhathini esizayo.Sibheke ngabomvu ku-2023, izinga lokuzanelisa kwe-butadiene lizokhuphuka, umthamo wokungenisa uzoqhubeka nokuncipha umkhuba, kodwa ukubuyiswa kwesidingo sangaphandle kuzosiza ivolumu yokuthekelisa i-butadiene ukuthi ikhule ngokwengeziwe.Ukuze kulinganiswe kangcono ukunikezwa kwemakethe yasekhaya kanye nephethini yokufunwa, ukwanda kokuthekelisa kungase kube umgomo wamabhizinisi asekhaya okukhiqiza i-butadiene.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Feb-23-2023