Ngo-2022, ngaphansi kwesizinda senani eliphezulu lamanani amalahle kanye nokukhula okuqhubekayo kwamandla okukhiqiza asekhaya emakethe ye-methanol yasekhaya, lidlule umjikelezo wokudlidliza othi “W” one-amplitude ephezulu engaphezu kuka-36%.Uma sibheke phambili ku-2023, abangaphakathi embonini bakholelwa ukuthi imakethe ye-methanol yalo nyaka isazoqhubeka nokuhambisana nesimo esikhulu kanye nomkhuba womjikelezo wezimboni.Ngokulungiswa kobudlelwano bokuhlinzeka nokufunwa kanye nokulungiswa kwezindleko zempahla yokusetshenziswa, kulindeleke ukuthi isidingo sokukhiqiza sizokhula kanyekanye, imakethe izozinza futhi izinzile.Iphinde ikhombise izici zokunciphisa ukukhula kwamandla okukhiqiza, izinguquko esakhiweni sabathengi, kanye nokuguquguquka okuningi emakethe.Ngesikhathi esifanayo, umthelela wokulethwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe emakethe yasekhaya ungase ubonakale ikakhulukazi engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka.
Izinga lokukhula kwamandla liyancipha
Ngokwezibalo ze-Henan Chemical Network, ngo-2022, umthamo wezwe lami wokukhiqiza i-methanol wawungamathani ayizigidi ezingu-5.545, futhi umthamo wokukhiqiza we-methanol omusha emhlabeni wonke wawugxiliswe eChina.Ekupheleni kuka-2022, umthamo wezwe lami wokukhiqiza i-methanol wawucishe ube ngamathani ayizigidi eziyi-113.06, okubalelwa ku-59% yenani lokukhiqiza lomhlaba wonke, futhi amandla okukhiqiza asebenzayo ayengaba amathani ayizigidi eziyi-100, ukwanda ngo-5.7% ngonyaka - unyaka.
U-Han Hongwei, iphini likamongameli we-Henan Petroleum and Chemical Industry Association, uthe ngo-2023, umthamo wezwe lami wokukhiqiza i-methanol uyaqhubeka nokukhula, kodwa izinga lokukhula lizokwehla.Ngo-2023, umthamo omusha we-methanol wezwe lami ungaba amathani ayizigidi ezi-4.9.Ngaleso sikhathi, umthamo wasekhaya wokukhiqiza i-methanol uzofinyelela amathani ayizigidi eziyi-118, okuwukukhula konyaka ngo-4.4%.Njengamanje, umshini osanda kukhiqizwa wamalahle ukuya ku-methanol wehliswe kakhulu, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yokukhuthazwa kwethagethi “yekhabhoni ephindwe kabili” kanye nezindleko eziphezulu zokutshalwa kwezimali zamaphrojekthi amakhemikhali amalahle.Ukuthi amandla amasha angaguqulwa ngempumelelo abe amandla okukhiqiza angempela esikhathini esizayo nakho kudingeka kubhekwe isiqondiso senqubomgomo yohlelo “lweminyaka Eyishumi Nane Yeminyaka Eyishumi Nanhlanu” oluqondiswe embonini entsha yamakhemikhali amalahle, kanye nezinguquko kwezemvelo. ukuvikela kanye nezinqubomgomo zamalahle.
Ngokwempendulo yolwazi lwemakethe, kusukela ngomhlaka-29 Januwari, intengo yokuhweba evamile ye-methanol yasekhaya ikhuphuke yafinyelela ku-2,600 yuan (intengo yethani, efanayo ngezansi), futhi intengo yechweba ikhuphuke yafinyelela ku-2,800 yuan, ukukhuphuka kwanyanga zonke kwafinyelela ku-13. %."Umthelela wokwethulwa komthamo omusha emakethe ungabonakala engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi ukuphindaphinda kwenani le-methanol ekuqaleni konyaka kuqhubeke."Kusho uHan Hongwei.
Isakhiwo sokusetshenziswa siyashintsha
Umuntu ophethe iphrojekthi ye-Zhongyuan Futures Methanol uthe ngenxa yokuvinjwa nokulawulwa kwalolu bhubhane kanye nokuba ntekenteke komnotho omkhulu, nesakhiwo sokusetshenziswa kwe-methanol esikhathini esizayo sizoshintsha.Phakathi kwazo, ijubane lokuthuthukiswa kwamalahle -to -olefin asetshenziswa cishe ngo-55% lingase lehlise ijubane, futhi ukusetshenziswa kwezimboni zendabuko ezansi nomfula kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule futhi.
UCui Huajie, ophethe i-Chemical Management yakwaHenan Ruiyuanxin, uthe izidingo zama-olefin ziye zaba buthaka kusukela ngo-2022, futhi yize imakethe ye-methanol eluhlaza isilungisiwe ukushaqeka, isalokhu iphezulu kakhulu.Ngaphansi kwezindleko eziphezulu, i-coal-to-olefin igcina ukulahlekelwa kokulahlekelwa unyaka wonke.Ethintwe yilokhu, ukuthuthukiswa kwamalahle -to -olefin kubonise izimpawu zokwehla.Ngephrojekthi edidiyelwe yokucwenga kanye namakhemikhali edidiyelwe yenqubo eyodwa yasekhaya ngo-2022 -i-Shenghong yokucwenga nokukhiqiza okuphelele, iphrojekthi ye-Slipon methanol olefin (MTO) ye-methanol izoba amathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.4 ngokombono.Izinga langempela lokukhula kwesidingo sama-olefin ku-methanol lizoqhubeka lehlisa ijubane.
Ngokusho komphathi we-Henan Energy Group, emkhakheni wendabuko ongezansi kwe-methanol, inani elikhulu lamaphrojekthi e-acetic acid azokwethulwa kusukela ngo-2020 kuya ku-2021 ngaphansi kokuheha kwenzuzo ephezulu, futhi amandla okukhiqiza i-acetic acid alondoloze ukwanda konyaka. 1 million amathani kule minyaka emibili edlule.Ngo-2023, amathani ayizigidi ezingu-1.2 e-acetic acid kulindeleke ukuthi engezwe, alandelwe amathani angu-260,000 e-methane chloride, amathani angu-180,000 e-methyl tert-butyl ether (MTBE) kanye namathani angu-550,000 e-N, n-dimethylformamide (DMF).Sekukonke, ukukhula kwesidingo semboni ye-methanol esezingeni eliphansi kunomkhuba okhulayo, futhi iphethini yokusetshenziswa kwe-methanol yasekhaya iphinda iveze inkambiso yentuthuko ehlukahlukene, futhi nesakhiwo sokusetshenziswa singashintsha.Kodwa-ke, izinhlelo zokukhiqiza zalawa mandla amasha ezimbonini zendabuko ezansi nomfula zigxile kakhulu engxenyeni yesibili noma ekupheleni konyaka, okuzoba nokusekelwa okulinganiselwe kwemakethe ye-methanol ngo-2023.
Ukushaqeka kwezimakethe akunakugwenywa
Ngokusho kwesakhiwo samanje sokuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo, uShao Huiwen, umhlaziyi wemakethe ophezulu, uthe umthamo wokukhiqiza i-methanol wasekhaya usuvele uhlangabezane nezinga elithile lokungaphezu kwamandla, kodwa ngenxa yezindleko eziphezulu ze-methanol izinto zokusetshenziswa zingase ziqhubeke nokuthinteka, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi umthamo omusha wokukhiqiza i-methanol ungahlelwa ngo-2023 ngokohlelo ngokohlelo Ukukhiqizwa kusazobhekwa, futhi ukukhiqizwa nakho kugxilwe engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, okuzoba kuhle ekwakhiweni kwe-methanol. imakethe engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2023.
Ngokombono wenqubo yokukhiqiza yemishini emisha ye-methanol yaphesheya kwezilwandle, umthamo wokukhiqiza ugxile engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka.Ingcindezi yokulethwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe ingase ibonakale engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka.Uma inani eliphansi lokulethwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe likhuphuka, imakethe yasekhaya ye-methanol isazobhekana nomthelela wemikhiqizo engenisiwe engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ngo-2023, imboni yendabuko ephansi ye-methanol kanye nezimboni ezisafufusa ihlelelwe ukufakwa ekukhiqizeni amayunithi amasha, phakathi kwawo amandla amasha we-MTO ikakhulukazi ukukhiqizwa okuhlanganisiwe, i-methanol fuel clean inemakethe ekhulayo emkhakheni wamandla amasha. , isidingo se-methanol kulindeleke ukuthi sikhuphuke, kodwa izinga lokukhula lingase liqhubeke lehla.Imakethe yasekhaya ye-methanol iyonke isesesimweni sokutholakala ngokweqile.Kulindeleke ukuthi imakethe yasekhaya ye-methanol izovuka kuqala bese izinza ngo-2023, futhi amathuba okulungiswa engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka angeke akhishwe.Kodwa-ke, ngenxa yezindleko eziphezulu zamalahle aluhlaza kanye negesi yemvelo, kunzima ukuthuthukisa imakethe ye-methanol esikhathini esifushane, futhi ukushaqeka okuphelele akunakugwenywa.
Abangaphakathi embonini bathe isilinganiso sokukhula kwesilinganiso sonyaka sokukhiqiza i-methanol eminyakeni emihlanu ezayo kulindeleke ukuthi sibe ku-3% kuya ku-4%.Ngaso leso sikhathi, ngokuhlanganiswa kwezimboni kanye nokuthuthukiswa kobuchwepheshe, amathani angaphezu kwesigidi esisodwa e-methanol kudivayisi yokuhlanganisa i-olefin kuseyiyona ndlela evamile, ikhabhoni eluhlaza kanye nezinye izinqubo ezisafufusa kuzoba isengezo.I-Methanol eya ku-aromatics kanye ne-methanol kuphethiloli izophinde ithole amathuba amasha entuthuko ngokwandiswa kwesikali sezimboni, kodwa idivayisi edidiyelwe ezikwazi ukuzisekela isewumkhuba wentuthuko evamile, amandla entengo azoba sezandleni zamabhizinisi amakhulu ahamba phambili, futhi Ukuguquguquka okukhulu emakethe ye-methanol kulindeleke ukuthi kuthuthukiswe.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Feb-08-2023