Emhlanganweni wokuhlaziya imakethe kamanyolo we-nitrogen ka-2023 owawuseJincheng, eSifundazweni SaseShanxi ngesonto eledlule, uGu Zongqin, umongameli weChina Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry Association, waveza ukuthi ngo-2022, wonke amabhizinisi omanyolo we-nitrogen azowuphothula ngempumelelo umsebenzi wokuqinisekisa ukuhlinzekwa kukamanyolo we-nitrogen ngaphansi. isimo esiyinkimbinkimbi sochungechunge olubi lwezimboni kanye ne-supply chain, ukutholakala kwempahla eqinile kanye namanani aphezulu.Kusukela esimweni samanje, ukunikezwa kukamanyolo we-nitrogen nesidingo kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule ngo-2023, futhi ibhalansi iyonke iyagcinwa.
Ukunikezwa kukhuphuke kancane
Ukunikezwa kwamandla kuwukweseka okubalulekile kokukhiqizwa komanyolo we-nitrogen.Ngonyaka odlule, inkinga yamandla emhlabeni wonke yabangela inkinga yamandla emhlabeni wonke ngenxa yengxabano yaseRussia-Ukraine, eyayala umthelela omkhulu ekukhiqizeni umanyolo we-nitrogen.UGu Zongqin uthe ukuthambekela kwemakethe yamandla omhlaba, ukudla kanye nomanyolo wamakhemikhali kulo nyaka kusenokungabaza okukhulu, futhi kuzoba nomthelela omkhulu ekuthuthukisweni kwemboni.
Mayelana nokuthambekela kwemboni kamanyolo we-nitrogen kulo nyaka, u-Wei Yong, umqondisi woMnyango Wezokwazisa Nezokumaketha we-Nitrogen Fertilizer Association, ukholelwa ukuthi ukunikezwa kukamanyolo we-nitrogen walo nyaka ngeke kuthikamezeke izici zangaphandle.Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi imakethe kamanyolo we-nitrogen izokhishwa kulo nyaka.Engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka, umthamo omusha wokukhiqiza umanyolo we-nitrogen unamathani angu-300,000/ngonyaka we-urea e-Xinjiang;cishe amathani ayizigidi ezi-2.9 womthamo omusha kanye namathani ayizigidi eziyi-1.7 omthamo wokushintshwa engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka afakwa ekukhiqizeni.Ngokuvamile, amathani ayizigidi ezi-2 wamandla okukhiqiza i-urea afakwa ekukhiqizeni ekupheleni kuka-2022 kanye namathani angaba yizigidi ezi-2.5 womthamo wokukhiqiza ahlelelwe ngo-2023 azokwenza ukuhlinzekwa komanyolo we-nitrogen kulo nyaka kwanele.
Izidingo zezolimo zizinzile
U-Wei Yong uthe ngo-2023, i-Central Central Document No.Zonke izifundazwe (izifunda ezizimele kanye nomasipala) kumele zisimamise indawo, zigxile ekukhiqizeni, zilwele ukukhulisa umkhiqizo.Ngakho-ke, isidingo salo nyaka sokuqina komanyolo we-nitrogen sizoqhubeka nokukhula.Kodwa-ke, inani elisetshenziselwa ukufaka esikhundleni sikamanyolo we-potassium kanye nomanyolo we-phosphate lizokwehla, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yokwehla okukhulu kwamanani e-sulfure, izindleko zokukhiqiza umanyolo we-phosphate zehla, ukungqubuzana phakathi kokunikezwa kanye nesidingo sikamanyolo we-potassium kuyehla, futhi enye indlela. womanyolo we-nitrogen kumanyolo we-phosphate kanye nomanyolo we-potassium kulindeleke ukuthi wehle.
U-Tian Youguo, isekela lomqondisi weNational Crop Seeds and Fertilizer Quality Inspection Centre yoMnyango Wezolimo Nezindaba Zasemakhaya, ubikezele ukuthi isidingo sikamanyolo wasekhaya ngo-2023 sasingaba amathani ayizigidi ezingu-50.65, kanti ukunikezwa konyaka kwakungaphezu kwamathani ayizigidi ezingu-57.8, futhi ukuhlinzekwa kwakungaphezu kwamathani ayizigidi ezingu-7.2.Phakathi kwazo, umanyolo we-nitrogen kulindeleke ukuthi ube ngamathani ayizigidi ezingu-25.41, umanyolo we-phosphate kulindeleke ukuthi udinge amathani angu-12.03 million, kanti umanyolo we-potassium kulindeleke ukuthi udinge amathani ayizigidi ezingu-13.21.
U-Wei Yong uthe isidingo se-urea salo nyaka kwezolimo sizinzile, futhi i-urea -demand izophinde ibonise isimo esilinganiselwe.Ngo-2023, isidingo sokukhiqizwa kwe-urea ezweni lami singamathani ayizigidi ezingu-4.5, okungamathani angu-900,000 ngaphezu kuka-2022. Uma ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kukhuphuka, ukuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo kuzohlala kulinganiselwe ngokuyisisekelo.
Ukusetshenziswa okungezona kwezolimo kuyanda
U-Wei Yong uthe njengoba izwe lami linaka kakhulu ukuphepha okusanhlamvu, isidingo sikamanyolo we-nitrogen kulindeleke ukuthi sigcine umkhuba ozinzile.Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ngenxa yokulungiswa kanye nokwenza kahle kwezinqubomgomo zokuvimbela ubhubhane, ukusimama komnotho wezwe lami kunomfutho omuhle, futhi isidingo se-urea ezimbonini kulindeleke ukuthi sikhule.
Uma sibheka ukubikezelwa kwezinga lokukhula komnotho wezwe lami lokukhula komnotho waseShayina, isimo somnotho ezweni lami sihle njengamanje, futhi isidingo sezidingo ezingezona ezolimo sizokhula.Ngokuqondile, "I-2022 China Economic Review kanye ne-2023 Economic Outlook in the Economic Research of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences" ikholelwa ukuthi izinga lokukhula kwe-GDP yase-China ngo-2023 licishe libe ngu-5%.I-International Monetary Fund ikhuphule ukukhula kwe-GDP yaseChina ngo-2023 kuya ku-5.2%.I-Citi Bank iphinde yenyusa ukukhula kwe-GDP yaseChina ngo-2023 isuka ku-5.3% yaya ku-5.7%.
Kulo nyaka, ukuchuma kwezindawo ezithengiswayo ezweni lami sekukhulile.Abangaphakathi embonini baveze ukuthi inqubomgomo esanda kwethulwa yezindawo ezithengiswayo ezindaweni eziningi ivune ukuthuthukiswa kwezindawo ezithengiswayo, ngaleyo ndlela ikhuthaza isidingo sefenisha nokuthuthukiswa kwekhaya, ngaleyo ndlela yandisa isidingo se-urea.Kulindeleke ukuthi isidingo esingezona ezolimo se-urea kulo nyaka sifinyelele kumathani ayizigidi ezingama-20.5, okuwukunyuka okungamathani ayizigidi eziyi-1.5 unyaka nonyaka.
UZhang Jianhui, uNobhala-Jikelele weKomidi Lochwepheshe Lokunamathela Nezingubo Zokugqoka le-China Forestry Industry Association, naye uvumelene nalokhu.Uthe ngokulungiswa nokulungiswa kwenqubomgomo yokuvimbela ubhubhane yezwe lami kulo nyaka kanye nokuqaliswa kwenqubomgomo entsha yezindlu, imakethe ilulame kancane, futhi isidingo sokusetshenziswa kwebhodi lokwenziwa esicindezelwe iminyaka emithathu ilandelana sizoshesha. khululiwe.Kulindeleke ukuthi ukukhiqizwa kwamabhodi okwenziwa aseShayina kuzofinyelela ku-340 million cubic metres ngo-2023, futhi ukusetshenziswa kwe-urea kuzodlula amathani ayizigidi ezingu-12.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Mar-10-2023