Uma sibheke phambili emakethe yesitayela ngo-2023, abangaphakathi embonini bakholelwa ukuthi imakethe ingaba sesimweni sokusebenza okuphezulu nokuphansi.Lo nyaka kusengunyaka lapho amandla okukhiqiza e-styrene akhule ngokushesha.I-anti-dumping eyeqile yesigamu sonyaka isiphelile.Imikhiqizo yangaphandle noma ukushanela ukucindezela imakethe yasekhaya.Ngesikhathi esifanayo, umthamo ophansi womfula uyakhululwa.I-Besium engaphansi kuka-2022, inzuzo inzima ukukhuphuka.
Ukukhula komphumela kungaba ngu-17%
“Ngo-2022, umthamo wasekhaya we-styrene usesesimeni sokukhula okuphezulu, futhi izinga lokukhula kulindeleke ukuthi lifinyelele ku-20%, okuzoba umkhiqizo oshesha kakhulu wochungechunge lwezimboni ochungechungeni lwezimboni.Ngenxa yokukhishwa ngokushesha kwamandla amasha okukhiqiza we-styrene, ukwanda kokukhiqizwa kanye nengcindezi yokuthengisa kuzokhuphuka, futhi izinga lokusebenzisa amandla ngeke libe lihle ngangokunokwenzeka.Kulindeleke ukuthi icishe ibe ngu-78%.“Umhlaziyi kaKim Lianchuang uWang Li uyakholelwa.
U-Wang Li uthe ngo-2023, imishini emisha efana ne-Lianyungang Petrochemical, i-Zibo Junchen, i-Guangdong Petrochemical, i-Zhejiang Petrochemical ingase ifakwe ekukhiqizeni, kanti izinga lokukhula kwamandla okukhiqiza we-styrene kulindeleke ukuthi lifinyelele ku-23%.Uma ukugunyazwa kubambezeleka ngenxa yokwelulwa kokungqubuzana phakathi kokunikezwa kanye nesidingo, izinga lokukhula lokukhishwa kwe-styrene kulo nyaka lingase libe ngu-17%.
Ethintwe yilokhu, imakethe ye-styrene yalo nyaka isebenza noma inomkhuba ophezulu futhi ophansi, futhi intengo ephakathi yonyaka izoba ngaphansi kuka-2022. Ngokuqondile, ukubikezela kwezintengo ezikhuphukayo engxenyeni yesibili.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ngenxa yokukhula okuqhubekayo kwe-styrene kulo nyaka, ingcindezi ekukhiqizeni engxenyeni yokuqala yayinkulu, futhi isidingo sokubekwa phezulu ngesikhathi soMkhosi Wasentwasahlobo sancipha.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, isidingo sekota yesibili bekulindeleke ukuthi sibuyele esimweni esihle, kanti ukukhiqizwa okwehla nomfula nakho kuzolandela.Engxenyeni yesithathu neyesine, ukuhlinzekwa kwe-styrene kusezingeni eliphezulu futhi isidingo siyancipha kancane kancane, futhi intengo ingase yehle.Kuyaphawuleka ukuthi ngesikhathi sokulungiswa okumaphakathi kwedivayisi ye-styrene, kungase kube negagasi lezimakethe ezikhulayo, kodwa ukwanda kunqunyelwe.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, enye into ethinta ukushintshashintsha kwemakethe ye-styrene kulo nyaka ukuthi i-anti-dumping izophela.Ngomhla zingama-22 kuNhlangulana 2018, uMnyango Wezohwebo umemezele isinqumo sokugcina sohlolo olumelene nokulahlwa komdabu e-South Korea, e-Taiwan nase-United States.Ngemuva kokuphela komkhankaso wokulwa nokulahlwa kwe-styrene ngoJuni nonyaka, i-China, njengezwe elikhulu kunawo wonke emhlabeni jikelele, izoheha abakhiqizi bomhlaba jikelele.Nakuba umthamo omusha wokukhiqiza we-styrene yasekhaya ukhishwa ngokuqhubekayo futhi ukuncika kwamanye amazwe kuyaqhubeka nokuncipha, ukuhamba kokuhlinzekwa kuzoqhubeka, futhi indlela entsha ye-arbitrage izokwakhiwa kancane kancane, noma izofaka ingcindezi emakethe yasekhaya phakathi nenkathi ethile yesikhathi. .
Isikhala senzuzo siyaqhubeka sincipha
Ngo-2022, ngaphandle kwemboni ye-ingenuylene engxenyeni yesithathu, sonke isikhathi sasisekulahlekelweni.Ukulahleka kwethiyori okungafika ku-1,000 yuan (intengo yethani, efanayo ngezansi), ngesilinganiso samayuan angama-379 ngonyaka.
U-Han Xiaoxiao, umhlaziyi we-Longzhong Information, ukholelwa ukuthi ngaphezu kokukhululwa okubalulekile kwamandla amasha okukhiqiza, esinye isici esibalulekile ukuthi izindleko eziphezulu ziyaqhubeka nokucindezela.I-benzene ehlanzekile ingenye yezinto zokusetshenziswa eziyinhloko ze-styrene, futhi ukushintshashintsha kwentengo kubalulekile kumkhuba we-styrene.
Engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2022, intengo ye-benzene emsulwa yenyuka kakhulu ngenxa yokutholakala okuqinile kanye nerekhodi eliphezulu lentengo yangaphandle, futhi lehla ngesigamu sesibili sonyaka ngenxa yokuqoqwa kwe-inventory ne-port, nenani elimaphakathi lonyaka lisondela. 9,000 yuan.
Eminyakeni emibili edlule, umehluko wentengo phakathi kwe-benzene emsulwa ne-styrene wehle kakhulu.Eminyakeni eyedlule, umehluko wentengo phakathi kwe-benzene emsulwa ne-styrene wawunakekelwa ngo-2000 ~ 2500 yuan, wehliswa waba ngu-1000 ~ 1500 yuan eminyakeni emibili edlule, futhi kwesinye isikhathi amayuan angama-200 ~ 500 kuphela.Ngo-2022, uchungechunge lwezimboni ze-styrene ezinemikhiqizo emihle yenzuzo yezinto ezingavuthiwe ziqeda i-benzene emsulwa.
Ngo-2023, intengo ye-benzene emsulwa engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka noma ukushaqeka okuphezulu, ingxenye yesibili yonyaka noma ingozi enkulu yokuwa.Kunezimboni ezengeziwe ezansi nomfula ze-benzene ehlanzekile.Ngokombono wesilinganiso sokusetshenziswa, i-styrene isengumkhiqizo omkhulu kakhulu wokusetshenziswa kwe-benzene okuhlanzekile, okulinganiselwa ku-47%.Ngasikhathi sinye, kulo nyaka umthamo we-styrene uyaqhubeka nokukhula ngokushesha, isidingo se-benzene emsulwa sisakhuphuka isiteshi.Ngokwesizinda "sekhabhoni ephindwe kabili", ngenxa yezinga lokusebenza lemboni yokupheka alanele, ukuvumelanisa kokuhlinzekwa kwempahla eluhlaza okwedlulele okulinganiselwe, kulindeleke kulo nyaka intengo ye-benzene emsulwa ilindeleke ukuthi igcine isimo sokuqeda esiphezulu.
Ezindlekweni eziphakeme kanye nokubamba, ukukhiqizwa nokusebenza kwemboni ye-styrene engezansi komfula kusabhekene nengcindezi enkulu, indawo yenzuzo noma kuzoqhubeka nokumpintsha.
Ukungqubuzana kokunikezwa kanye nesidingo akunangqondo
I-Polystyeyrene (PS), I-Hair Polystyeyrene (EPS), i-Acryl -butadiene -Tartylene Total Poin (ABS) iyindawo emithathu ephansi yomfula we-styrene, ebala cishe ukusetshenziswa kwengqikithi engu-70 ye-styrene%.Abangaphakathi bakholelwa ukuthi umthamo ophelele wokukhiqiza walezi zintathu eziyinhloko ezansi nomfula uphansi kulo nyaka.Ngaphansi kokulindelwe ukuthuthukiswa ngaphakathi, uma umfula ongezansi unethemba mayelana nokusetshenziswa kwangempela kwezinto zokusetshenziswa, izinga lokukhula langempela le-ABS, PS, ne-EPS lilindelekile. Bekuyi-12%, 6%, kanye no-3%, iphansi kakhulu kunezinga lokukhula lokukhiqiza lika-17% we-styrene.Lokhu futhi kusho ukuthi ukungqubuzana phakathi kokunikezwa kanye nesidingo se-styrene kusenzima ukukudambisa ngempumelelo.
Ngo-2023, ukuhlinzekwa kwe-styrene kugcwala kancane kancane.Nakuba isidingo silindeleke ukuba sikhule, izinga lokukhula lincane kakhulu kunezinga lokukhula kwe-styrene, futhi ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kuzoqhubeka nokuba isiteshi esibalulekile sokunciphisa ukukhiqizwa nokucindezeleka kokuthengisa ukunciphisa ukukhiqizwa nokuthengisa.Mayelana nokungeniswa kwamanye amazwe, ngokwesulwa komsebenzi wokulwa nokulahlwa kwe-styrene, amanani entengo e-China naseNingizimu Korea azokwehla kakhulu.Kulindeleke ukuthi umthamo ophelele wokungenisa we-styrene engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka uzokwenyuka kancane.Kodwa-ke, ukukhuphuka kokungeniswa kwe-styrene ngeke kube kukhulu kakhulu ngenxa yokwanda kwekhono lokuncintisana le-RMB.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Feb-16-2023